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☆ Russia may not start an all-out war with NATO, but already has plans to destroy it from within
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Late last year, Poland's national security agency estimated that Russia could attack NATO within three years. AdvertisementBut whether Putin really does intend to attack NATO and what an attack might look like remains unclear. In March, Putin denied having any plans to attack NATO members, describing such claims as "complete nonsense." "So, his ambition in growing is not going to be that he will attack NATO and NATO countries next year. A covert war is already underwayRussia, some point out, is already engaged in a war with NATO, albeit covertly.

Persons: —, Donald Tusk, Tusk, Putin, Emmanuel Macron, NATO Putin, Philip Ingram, Ingram, Ruth Deyermond, Bryden Spurling, Robert Dover, Spurling, that's, SERGEY BOBOK, Russia's Organizations: Service, Poland's, Business, Bild, NATO, Germany isn't, Ukraine, King's College London, RAND Corporation, University of Hull, European NATO, RAND, Ukrainian Territorial Defence Forces Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Baltic, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Germany, Washington, Russian, NATO, European, Kharkiv, Soviet Union

☆ Ukraine is losing its war against Russia. Here's what its defeat might look like.
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Tom Porter | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . There is a glimmer of hope for Ukraine, with a congressional vote that could release the aid package expected this weekend. Spurling, the RAND analyst, said that a Russian victory would most likely take the form of Ukraine ceding large amounts of conquered territory to Russia. AdvertisementThis implies that Ukraine, in any scenario, will have to cede territory, either formally or informally.

Persons: —, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Oleksandr Danylyuk, Bryden Spurling, George Beebe, Ukraine's, Beebe Organizations: Service, Royal United Services Institute, of Defense, RAND Corporation, Business, CIA, RAND, NATO Locations: Ukraine, Europe, Russia, Kharkiv, Ukraine's, Russian, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, Moscow, NATO

☆ Ukraine was in trouble already — now it openly admits it's on track to lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Tom Porter | Mia Jankowicz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

On the front line in east and south Ukraine, reports say the situation is increasingly desperate, with Russia outfiring Ukraine at a rate of three to one. Senior Ukrainian military officials, talking to Politico, said that Russia could break through wherever it focuses its anticipated summer offensive. AdvertisementThe role of the WestUkraine is on a "starvation diet" for aid, George Barros, an expert at the Institute for the Study of War, told BI. Anadolu/Getty ImagesAnalysts also say that weaknesses in Russia's military are limiting the Kremlin's ability to take advantage of the situation. "For Ukraine to suffer total defeat, we'd need to see a major collapse in Ukrainian lines and morale," he said.

Persons: —, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, Dmytro Kuleba, Bryden Spurling, George Barros, BI's Sinéad Baker, Barros, ATACMS, Klaus, Dietmar Gabbert, we've, Justin Bronk, Ukraine —, Politico —, Mykola Bielieskov, Spurling, George Beebe, Beebe, Ukraine it's, ferociously Organizations: Service, Republicans, Business, Patriots, Politico, Russia outfiring, Ukrainian, RAND Corporation, AP, US State Department, Institute for, Leopard, Getty, London's Royal United Services Institute, Ukraine, National Institute for Strategic Studies, Fleet, Anadolu Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Russia outfiring Ukraine, Iran, North Korea, West Ukraine, Avdiivka, Zaporizhzhia, Ukrainian, NATO, Kyiv, Avdiivkva, Dnipro

☆ The Chinese Navy's presence in the Middle East involves 6 'highly capable vessels' stationed in the theater, military expert says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-26 | by ( Kwan Wei Kevin Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Chinese navy has deployed "six highly capable vessels" to the Middle East, says RAND's Bryden Spurling. He told Newsweek that the ships "reflect the rapid growth in the sophistication" of China's navy. Six Chinese warships were stationed in the Middle East last week, per reports from China Military Online, a Chinese state-linked military news outlet. The US has ramped up its military presence in the Middle East amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas. The Pentagon's 2022 annual report on China's military development forecasted China's fleet to reach 400 ships by 2025 and 440 ships by 2030.

Persons: RAND's Bryden Spurling, —, Bryden Spurling, they've, Spurling, Lloyd Austin, Defense Mark Esper, Esper Organizations: Newsweek, Service, RAND, Chinese Navy, Australia's Department of Defence, China Military, U.S ., US, Hamas, . Defense, China, US Navy, Fox News Digital, US Naval Institute, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Defense, RAND Corporation Locations: China, Israel

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